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Betting tips for Saturday's NFL divisional round games: Odds, analysis, picks and trends

NFL Divisional Round Showdowns: Chiefs and Lions Defend Their Turf

NFL Divisional Round: Chiefs and Lions Ready to Defend Their Turf

As the NFL divisional round kicks off, fans are in for a thrilling weekend of football action. The excitement begins on Saturday with the No. 1 seeds in both the AFC and NFC taking the field. The Kansas City Chiefs, led by the ever-dynamic Patrick Mahomes, are set to face off against the Houston Texans, who are riding high after a wild-card victory. Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions, fresh from a bye week, will host the Washington Commanders in what promises to be an electrifying matchup.

The Chiefs, with a stellar 15-2 record, are aiming for their third consecutive Super Bowl championship. They will be up against the Texans, who have shown resilience and determination under the leadership of rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. The Texans, who finished the regular season with an 11-7 record, are looking to make history by securing back-to-back playoff wins for the first time.

On the other side, the Lions have been a force to reckon with this season. After clinching the NFC North title and securing the conference’s top seed, they are poised to make a deep playoff run. Their opponents, the Commanders, have had a remarkable turnaround this season, going from a 4-13 record last year to a 12-5 finish this year. With rookie sensation Jayden Daniels at the helm, the Commanders are eager to continue their Cinderella story.

Chiefs vs. Texans: A Battle of Titans

The Chiefs and Texans will face off at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The Chiefs, who had a bye last week, are 8-point favorites heading into the game. Despite their impressive record, the Chiefs have been involved in several close games this season, with 10 of their victories decided by seven points or less. They are 7-0 outright but 0-7 against the spread when laying at least six points this season.

The Texans, on the other hand, are coming off a dominant 32-12 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers in the wild-card round. With C.J. Stroud leading the charge, the Texans are looking to defy the odds and secure a win against the defending champions. The game is set to kick off at 4:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on ESPN/ABC/ESPN+.

Game Lines and Betting Insights

  • Spread: Chiefs -8 (Opened Chiefs -7.5)
  • Money line: Chiefs -450, Texans +340
  • Over/Under: 41.5 (Opened 42.5)
  • First-half spread: Chiefs -4.5 (-125), Texans +4.5 (+102)
  • Chiefs total points: 24.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
  • Texans total points: 16.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
  • Matchup predictor (by ESPN analytics): 63.6% chance to win (by 4.6)

Andre Snellings has picked the Texans +8, citing the Chiefs’ tendency to play close games. The Chiefs have not covered a spread this large all season, and the Texans’ recent performance against the Chargers suggests they could keep the game competitive.

Lions vs. Commanders: A Clash of Styles

In the second game of the day, the Lions will host the Commanders at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions, who are favored to win the Super Bowl at +275, have been dominant this season, losing only two games by a combined 10 points. Their high-powered offense, which led the NFL in scoring, will be a formidable challenge for the Commanders.

The Commanders, however, have shown they can rise to the occasion. They finished the regular season with five straight wins and are coming off a thrilling 23-20 victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the wild-card round. With Jayden Daniels leading the charge, the Commanders are looking to pull off an upset against the Lions.

Game Lines and Betting Insights

  • Spread: Lions -9.5 (Opened Lions -8.5)
  • Money line: Lions -600, Commanders +400
  • Over/Under: 55.5 (Opened 53.5)
  • First-half spread: Lions -6.5 (-105), Commanders +6.5 (-115)
  • Lions total points: 32.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
  • Commanders total points: 22.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
  • Matchup predictor (by ESPN analytics): Lions 73% chance to win (by 9)

Pamela Maldonado has picked the Commanders +9.5, highlighting their ability to perform under pressure. The Commanders have won six games this season with game-winning scores in the final moments, making them a dangerous underdog against the Lions.

Betting Trends and More

  • The Chiefs are seeking their eighth straight playoff win, which would be the third-longest streak in NFL history.
  • Patrick Mahomes is seeking his 16th playoff win as a starting QB, which would tie Joe Montana for second most in NFL history.
  • The Lions have outscored opponents by 222 points this season, the largest margin in the NFL.
  • The Commanders are looking to win multiple playoff games in a season for the first time since 1991.
  • The Commanders-Lions over/under is 55.5, the highest in any playoff game since Super Bowl LV.

With so much at stake, Saturday’s games are sure to deliver plenty of drama and excitement. Whether you’re a fan of high-scoring offenses or nail-biting finishes, the NFL divisional round has something for everyone.

Original source article rewritten by our AI can be read here.
Originally Written by: ESPN

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