Everything you need to know for four NFL divisional round games: Score picks, predictions and storylines

Everything You Need to Know for the NFL Divisional Playoff Round

As the 2024 NFL season heats up, the divisional playoff round promises to deliver some thrilling matchups. With four games on the slate, fans are in for a weekend of high-stakes football. Let’s dive into the details of each game, starting with Saturday’s action.

First up, we have the Kansas City Chiefs, led by the ever-dynamic Patrick Mahomes, facing off against the Houston Texans and their young quarterback C.J. Stroud. This game kicks off the weekend and sets the stage for what promises to be an exciting series of contests. Later on Saturday, the Washington Commanders, with Jayden Daniels at the helm, will try to maintain their momentum against the Detroit Lions.

Sunday’s lineup features the Los Angeles Rams traveling to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles, who boast the talents of Saquon Barkley. The weekend concludes with a showdown between two MVP candidates, Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson, as the Buffalo Bills host the Baltimore Ravens. This game is not just a battle for a spot in the AFC Championship Game but also a clash of two of the league’s most electrifying quarterbacks.

Our NFL Nation reporters have broken down the biggest keys to each game, while analytics writer Seth Walder offers bold predictions for each matchup. NFL analyst Matt Bowen highlights a key matchup X factor to watch, and staff writer Kevin Seifert provides insights into the officiating. The ESPN Research team has also compiled a big stat to know and a betting nugget for each contest. Additionally, our Football Power Index (FPI) offers game projections, and three analysts—Kalyn Kahler, Eric Moody, and Walder—share their final score picks for every game.

Here’s a closer look at each matchup:

• Texans at Chiefs: The Texans’ defense, which was tied for fourth in sacks this season (49), needs to pressure Mahomes more effectively than they did in their Week 16 loss. On offense, the Texans will rely heavily on running back Joe Mixon, who is questionable with an ankle injury. The Chiefs, on the other hand, excelled on third downs during the regular season, converting 48.5% of the time. They’ll need to replicate that success against a strong Texans defense.
• Commanders at Lions: Washington’s rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been exceptional on key downs, boasting the NFL’s best QBR on third and fourth downs. The Lions, however, are excited to have running back David Montgomery back from injury. Detroit’s offense, known for its yards after the catch, will face a Commanders defense that excels at limiting YAC.
• Rams at Eagles: The Rams’ defense will look to redeem itself after allowing 314 rushing yards to the Eagles in Week 12. Philadelphia’s defense, meanwhile, has been on a turnover tear since their Week 6 bye. The Eagles’ wide receivers, including A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, will be key players to watch.
• Ravens at Bills: In a game that could be decided by the quarterbacks’ legs, both Jackson and Allen are poised to make an impact. The Bills will focus on containing running back Derrick Henry, who had a standout performance against them earlier this season. The Ravens, meanwhile, will look to exploit the Bills’ defense with Jackson’s rushing ability.

With so much on the line, this weekend’s games are sure to be filled with drama and excitement. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or a casual observer, there’s something for everyone in this divisional playoff round. So grab your snacks, settle in, and get ready for a weekend of unforgettable NFL action.